AI tools are accelerating development, but they are also exposing weak engineering cultures. This article explains why culture, not capability, determines who benefits from AI.

Since the explosion of generative AI tools such as GitHub Copilot, ChatGPT, and Claude, a familiar narrative has re-emerged: AI is going to replace software engineers.
It’s an appealing headline. It’s also deeply misleading.
What AI is actually doing is something far more uncomfortable for many organisations: it is exposing weak engineering cultures at speed.
Strong teams are becoming dramatically more productive. Weak teams are accumulating technical debt faster than ever. The difference is not intelligence or tooling — it is culture, leadership, and discipline.
AI does not think. It predicts.
That distinction matters.
AI tools generate output based on patterns found in existing data. They are excellent accelerators — but they lack judgement, context, and accountability. As a result, they magnify the habits of the teams using them.
As Martin Fowler, Chief Scientist at ThoughtWorks, has long argued:
“The biggest problems in software development are social, not technical.”
AI has not changed this reality — it has intensified it.
In organisations with poor engineering culture, AI often becomes a shortcut rather than a tool.
Common symptoms include:
Initially, velocity appears to improve. Over time, failure rates rise.
Incidents become harder to diagnose. Systems become opaque. Knowledge becomes externalised — not shared.
AI has not replaced engineers in these environments. It has removed the friction that once prevented poor decisions from reaching production.
In contrast, mature engineering teams treat AI as a collaborator — not an authority.
They use it to:
Crucially, human judgement remains central.
As Kent Beck, one of the creators of Extreme Programming, recently noted:
“AI is great at helping you write code faster. It’s terrible at deciding what code you should write.”
Strong cultures maintain:
AI operates within those constraints — not instead of them.
One of the most significant impacts of AI is how it exposes leadership gaps.
In organisations where:
AI simply accelerates the consequences.
Leaders who lack technical understanding struggle to challenge AI-driven output. They confuse speed with progress and equate automation with intelligence.
As Amazon CTO Werner Vogels has warned:
“You can’t outsource thinking — especially not to tools that don’t understand your customers.”

The idea that AI will create a small elite of “10x engineers” while eliminating the rest misunderstands how engineering actually works.
Engineering is a team sport. Value comes from:
AI may increase individual output, but coordination, design, and judgement remain human constraints.
What AI does do is widen the gap between:
The winners are not those who generate the most code — but those who generate the right code.
AI has also changed how organisations should evaluate engineers.
Traditional signals — such as:
Are becoming less relevant.
What matters more now:
AI can generate code. It cannot explain why a system should be built a certain way.
That distinction is becoming the new hiring filter.
As AI commoditises certain technical tasks, culture becomes the differentiator.
Companies with:
Will outpace competitors using the same tools.
As Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, has stated:
“Culture eats strategy for breakfast — and now it eats technology too.”
AI does not level the playing field. It tilts it.
To benefit from AI, organisations must invest in:
Without these, AI becomes an accelerant — not an advantage.
AI is not replacing engineers.
It is replacing the illusion that weak cultures can survive on talent alone.
The organisations that thrive will not be those with the most tools — but those with the strongest foundations.
AI is not eliminating engineering roles — it is amplifying existing strengths and weaknesses. Organisations with poor culture are feeling the pressure first.